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Red154
491553.1
558813.2
451256.4
Blue156
446948.5
357429.8
204651.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231440100200300400500154156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave9
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points20
44Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +7
22Coral scored#20
78Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
106Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#10
8L3#5
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points24
154Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.40.8
54.455.2
Auto18.1
Teleop37.4
End0.9
red by 5.0
51.40.1
50.750.8
Auto14.2
Teleop35.2
End1.9
Second
53.10.8
51.151.9
Auto15.8
Teleop30.0
End7.3
red by 4.6
4469
#13
48.50.1
47.847.9
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End1.1
Third
5588
#24
13.20.8
11.212.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End0.2
blue by 16.6
3574
#15
29.80.1
29.129.2
Auto3.6
Teleop22.3
End3.9