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Red145
204651.4
36054.3
451256.4
Blue56
558813.2
321917.4
418011.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2043205010015025030035014556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+85Teleop
+83Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
9Leave0
8Coral scored#3
39Coral points16
48Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +53
15Coral scored#6
55Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
87Total teleop34
Reef
7L4#3
8L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
6Foul points0
145Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.42.0
54.952.9
Auto18.1
Teleop37.4
End0.9
red by 39.0
3219
#21
17.40.2
20.520.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Second
360
#17
54.32.0
57.155.0
Auto16.1
Teleop35.5
End2.7
red by 41.1
5588
#24
13.20.2
12.412.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Third
51.42.0
54.752.7
Auto14.2
Teleop35.2
End1.9
red by 40.2
4180
#27
11.20.2
17.117.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed