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Red71
357429.8
293049.7
418011.2
Blue107
805127.3
593738.7
451256.4
28%Model gave it72%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9713405015020025071107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+32
Endgame+30
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
12Processor points6
4Net points16
16Algae points22
52Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
6Foul points12
71Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.71.9
48.947.0
Auto17.0
Teleop26.2
End6.5
blue by 6.7
56.41.7
50.849.1
Auto18.1
Teleop37.4
End0.9
Second
3574
#15
29.81.9
27.725.8
Auto3.6
Teleop22.3
End3.9
blue by 8.9
5937
#16
38.71.7
40.939.2
Auto2.0
Teleop31.9
End4.9
Third
4180
#27
11.21.9
17.315.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 16.2
8051
#10
27.31.7
28.827.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed