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Red80
94917.8
491553.1
94827.0
Blue49
746110.0
252240.7
12949.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1005801508049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+35Teleop
+37Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +52
14Coral scored#3
51Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
65Total teleop13
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points6
80Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.7
51.951.2
Auto15.8
Teleop30.0
End7.3
red by 12.4
2522
#12
40.71.2
37.836.7
Auto12.0
Teleop23.8
End4.9
Second
948
#6
27.00.7
28.027.4
Auto5.3
Teleop19.5
End2.2
red by 16.9
7461
#14
10.01.2
12.711.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Third
949
#11
17.80.7
10.29.5
Auto2.3
Teleop14.2
End1.3
red by 8.6
1294
#23
9.21.2
9.88.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed