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Red107
94841.5
241240.5
297616.8
Blue106
944262.0
321918.0
418020.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75890204060100120140107106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points20
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +9
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
67Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points12
107Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#10
41.53.9
19.323.2
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
blue by 20.6
62.00.9
55.556.4
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
Second
40.53.9
30.334.3
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
red by 20.3
4180
#22
20.11.5
12.914.4
Auto3.0
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Third
2976
#21
16.83.9
22.025.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End1.7
blue by 1.2
3219
#12
18.01.5
12.113.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned