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Red104
944262.0
9498.9
358813.0
Blue127
1045516.3
241240.5
291073.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69101020406080120140160104127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+29
Endgame+41
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
10Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
66Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
24Foul points6
104Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.00.7
56.457.1
Auto14.1
Teleop46.0
End1.9
blue by 11.4
73.42.9
50.253.1
Auto11.7
Teleop53.7
End8.0
Second
3588
#23
13.01.1
4.85.9
Auto1.4
Teleop9.5
End2.0
blue by 27.5
40.52.9
34.337.2
Auto8.4
Teleop30.8
End1.3
Third
949
#31
8.91.1
6.27.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
blue by 7.3
16.32.9
7.710.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned