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Red91
903626.2
49231.9
48845.6
Blue84
32689.5
94841.5
491819.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions884002060801001201409184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#9
49Coral points33
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
71Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
91Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#4
45.61.6
28.830.4
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
red by 4.1
948
#10
41.54.5
25.530.0
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
Second
492
#6
31.91.6
28.630.2
Auto4.7
Teleop24.8
End2.3
red by 12.5
4918
#26
19.42.7
13.115.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
Third
9036
#17
26.21.6
19.521.1
Auto4.8
Teleop20.1
End1.3
red by 16.8
3268
#29
9.54.5
4.79.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed