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Red45
803217.5
358813.0
94841.5
Blue121
189927.3
48845.6
1045516.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5872020408010012045121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+58
Endgame+46
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +48
4Coral scored#14
16Coral points50
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
20Total teleop68
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points30
45Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#10
41.51.2
30.028.8
Auto5.5
Teleop28.7
End7.3
blue by 4.1
488
#4
45.62.5
30.432.8
Auto8.9
Teleop33.9
End2.7
Second
8032
#15
17.51.2
16.815.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
blue by 9.8
1899
#11
27.32.5
21.924.4
Auto3.7
Teleop22.4
End1.2
Third
3588
#23
13.01.2
9.28.0
Auto1.4
Teleop9.5
End2.0
blue by 3.2
16.32.5
13.516.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsEarned