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Red63
307031.3
30498.3
198323.5
Blue90
49231.9
9498.9
368129.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6871204060801001206390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
50Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points18
63Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3070
#16
31.30.0
29.929.8
Auto3.1
Teleop27.1
End1.2
blue by 0.5
492
#6
31.90.5
33.433.9
Auto4.7
Teleop24.8
End2.3
Second
1983
#24
23.50.0
24.724.6
Auto4.5
Teleop17.4
End1.7
blue by 6.0
29.50.5
27.728.2
Auto4.9
Teleop20.3
End4.3
Third
3049
#30
8.30.0
9.09.0
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.1
blue by 0.6
949
#31
8.90.5
4.34.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned