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Red113
491815.3
321839.2
293053.2
Blue45
413121.7
582730.2
1049818.4
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048005015011345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+58Teleop
+62Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +34
15Coral scored#6
53Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
71Total teleop37
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#1
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
6Foul points0
113Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.21.0
35.736.7
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
red by 23.0
5827
#16
30.23.9
29.325.4
Auto10.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
Second
39.21.0
31.332.3
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
red by 17.4
4131
#11
21.73.9
25.521.5
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End2.7
Third
4918
#18
15.31.0
22.323.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5
blue by 3.1
18.46.2
20.113.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed