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Red49
607616.5
321839.2
445023.3
Blue153
446946.4
131842.6
944252.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85109406010012014016049153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+88
Endgame+90
Fouls+104
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +70
6Coral scored#18
22Coral points64
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
6Processor points18
8Net points24
14Algae points42
36Total teleop106
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +104
0Foul points14
49Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.25.2
36.231.0
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
blue by 13.6
9442
#12
52.83.1
35.438.5
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
Second
4450
#13
23.35.2
29.224.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 23.0
46.43.1
28.731.8
Auto11.5
Teleop33.7
End1.2
Third
6076
#20
16.55.2
12.97.7
Auto2.5
Teleop12.5
End1.5
blue by 26.1
42.63.1
32.035.1
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed