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Red80
1007929.1
298021.2
204652.1
Blue13
408931.7
558813.2
292916.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9867204060801201401608013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+65Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
20Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +48
9Coral scored#1
34Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
52Total teleop4
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#0
2L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
2Foul points2
80Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.5
42.141.5
Auto10.5
Teleop39.2
End2.5
red by 20.5
4089
#14
31.75.6
24.518.9
Auto5.0
Teleop25.1
End1.5
Second
29.139.8
57.117.3
Auto6.0
Teleop22.3
End0.8
red by 13.0
2929
#33
16.15.6
16.510.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Third
2980
#30
21.20.5
23.022.5
Auto3.1
Teleop16.3
End1.7
red by 8.0
5588
#28
13.25.6
20.414.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed