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Red33
292916.1
451219.4
762725.3
Blue125
582730.2
293053.2
417317.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4890010015033125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+68
Endgame+80
Fouls+92
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +47
4Coral scored#12
16Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
20Total teleop67
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +92
0Foul points12
33Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7627
#23
25.31.5
20.919.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End2.3
blue by 27.9
53.23.7
42.446.0
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
Second
4512
#31
19.41.5
14.813.3
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
blue by 10.8
5827
#16
30.23.4
21.524.9
Auto10.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
Third
2929
#33
16.11.5
11.610.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 1.5
4173
#27
17.63.4
13.216.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned