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Red98
558813.2
131842.6
491131.2
Blue104
252238.8
944252.8
1007929.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77120406010014016018098104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
62Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
14Foul points14
98Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.7
34.735.3
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
blue by 10.1
9442
#12
52.82.0
47.145.1
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
Second
4911
#25
31.20.7
29.930.5
Auto3.1
Teleop24.9
End3.1
blue by 7.6
38.82.0
37.735.8
Auto13.7
Teleop24.6
End0.6
Third
5588
#28
13.20.7
13.013.7
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End1.9
blue by 15.9
29.12.0
24.122.1
Auto6.0
Teleop22.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed