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Red122
293053.2
408931.7
413121.7
Blue125
445023.3
451219.4
446946.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1007220406080120140160180122125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
74Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points8
122Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.21.4
46.047.5
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
red by 6.8
46.43.2
39.042.2
Auto11.5
Teleop33.7
End1.2
Second
4089
#14
31.71.4
25.927.3
Auto5.0
Teleop25.1
End1.5
red by 8.4
4450
#13
23.33.2
17.620.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Third
4131
#11
21.71.3
15.717.0
Auto2.7
Teleop16.3
End2.7
red by 2.3
4512
#31
19.43.2
13.316.6
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned