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Red125
131842.6
292916.1
944252.8
Blue123
321839.2
290323.7
446946.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911890100110130140150160125123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +2
19Coral scored#19
70Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
96Total teleop94
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
125Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#12
52.80.4
51.151.5
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
red by 6.4
46.40.1
46.246.4
Auto11.5
Teleop33.7
End1.2
Second
42.60.4
41.041.4
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
red by 3.5
39.20.1
39.139.2
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Third
2929
#33
16.10.4
14.514.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 7.6
2903
#17
23.70.1
23.623.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End7.3