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Red75
252125.9
469228.1
99953.5
Blue138
363655.3
367468.7
99979.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8115805010020025030035075138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+53
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +50
9Coral scored#19
32Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
42Total teleop92
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#6
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
75Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4692
#21
28.10.3
31.731.3
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End0.7
blue by 40.6
68.70.2
73.373.1
Auto18.5
Teleop39.9
End10.3
Second
25.90.3
33.132.8
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End3.3
blue by 29.4
3636
#13
55.30.2
53.052.8
Auto12.7
Teleop42.5
End0.0
Third
9995
#25
3.50.5
15.014.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop2.8
End1.7
blue by 5.5
9997
#24
9.00.4
15.014.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned