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Red98
956721.1
252125.9
142550.2
Blue65
299029.6
999320.5
99929.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1315801001502002509865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+7Teleop
+21Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
8Coral scored#8
29Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
47Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
12Foul points0
98Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.21.7
49.647.8
Auto13.8
Teleop28.2
End8.2
red by 20.6
2990
#22
29.60.5
30.129.6
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End3.4
Second
25.91.7
27.625.9
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End3.3
red by 5.4
9993
#12
20.50.9
17.917.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End2.9
Third
9567
#16
21.11.7
22.821.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End4.0
red by 11.8
9992
#18
9.30.9
10.29.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed