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Red95
956721.1
945073.2
669643.7
Blue150
634336.6
241274.4
644332.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170155010020030040050095150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+49
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +42
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#12
18Processor points12
8Net points48
26Algae points60
71Total teleop113
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
95Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.23.4
75.572.1
Auto12.7
Teleop50.8
End9.8
blue by 1.2
74.40.5
60.761.2
Auto13.0
Teleop51.6
End9.8
Second
43.73.4
37.934.5
Auto9.1
Teleop34.9
End-0.3
red by 7.1
6343
#20
36.60.5
47.147.6
Auto7.6
Teleop26.2
End2.7
Third
9567
#16
21.13.4
26.723.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End4.0
blue by 11.1
32.20.5
28.729.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.9
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned