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Red115
968019.8
293059.0
406137.7
Blue77
634342.0
74930.3
382623.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10794608010012014016018011577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points9
31Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
68Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points0
115Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.00.8
53.254.0
Auto17.6
Teleop31.4
End10.0
red by 16.9
6343
#13
42.00.8
36.435.5
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End1.2
Second
4061
#12
37.70.8
26.427.2
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
red by 7.4
749
#14
30.30.8
18.517.7
Auto6.4
Teleop19.6
End4.4
Third
9680
#23
19.80.8
15.816.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
blue by 4.0
3826
#21
23.80.8
28.828.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned