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Red67
281143.4
469226.8
961318.4
Blue145
381216.5
451347.8
74930.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109968012014016067145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+56
Endgame+66
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points15
3Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +44
9Coral scored#18
32Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
50Total teleop94
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points12
67Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.42.9
41.338.4
Auto9.0
Teleop26.8
End7.6
blue by 4.5
47.82.0
38.840.8
Auto5.1
Teleop31.9
End10.8
Second
4692
#30
26.82.9
26.723.8
Auto2.6
Teleop22.6
End1.5
blue by 3.5
749
#14
30.32.0
26.528.5
Auto6.4
Teleop19.6
End4.4
Third
9613
#29
18.42.9
20.017.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End2.1
red by 2.0
3812
#27
16.52.0
15.417.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned