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Red145
1041631.7
634342.0
292630.6
Blue120
406137.7
762741.8
382623.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931176080100140160180145120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
22Coral scored#21
79Coral points75
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
18Processor points18
12Net points12
30Algae points30
109Total teleop105
Reef
12L4#7
6L3#7
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
14Foul points0
145Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#13
42.01.8
35.537.3
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End1.2
red by 0.2
41.80.1
36.136.2
Auto11.2
Teleop27.7
End2.9
Second
31.71.8
25.327.2
Auto5.2
Teleop23.6
End2.9
blue by 6.0
4061
#12
37.70.1
34.534.6
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
Third
2926
#18
30.61.8
26.828.6
Auto5.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
red by 6.8
3826
#21
23.80.1
30.130.2
Auto4.8
Teleop14.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsMissed