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Red133
214744.7
646535.2
292630.6
Blue108
1042323.4
406020.4
281143.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12097406080140160180133108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points19
20Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +18
18Coral scored#15
63Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
91Total teleop73
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#4
2L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
133Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#19
44.71.6
40.241.8
Auto5.9
Teleop33.6
End5.2
red by 1.3
43.41.4
39.641.0
Auto9.0
Teleop26.8
End7.6
Second
6465
#15
35.21.6
31.733.3
Auto5.2
Teleop26.5
End3.6
red by 11.9
23.42.0
23.525.6
Auto4.6
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Third
2926
#18
30.61.6
30.732.3
Auto5.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
red by 10.2
4060
#24
20.41.4
23.825.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned