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Red56
968019.8
382623.8
961318.4
Blue127
406137.7
387611.2
281143.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87106608010012014016056127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+61
Endgame+63
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +60
6Coral scored#21
22Coral points76
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
30Total teleop90
Reef
4L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#8
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points8
56Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#21
23.81.5
30.228.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.6
End4.5
blue by 19.6
43.41.7
41.042.7
Auto9.0
Teleop26.8
End7.6
Second
9680
#23
19.81.5
21.419.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
blue by 17.9
4061
#12
37.71.7
37.639.2
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
Third
9613
#29
18.41.5
18.216.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End2.1
red by 7.2
3876
#34
11.22.2
7.69.8
Auto1.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned