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Red108
592038.0
968019.8
214744.7
Blue132
74930.3
131853.4
299033.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851054060120140160180108132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+4
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points22
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +2
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points54
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
88Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
108Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#19
44.72.0
38.140.1
Auto5.9
Teleop33.6
End5.2
blue by 8.7
53.42.7
44.146.8
Auto12.2
Teleop36.3
End5.0
Second
38.02.0
22.925.0
Auto5.7
Teleop31.1
End1.2
red by 4.6
2990
#16
33.42.7
30.132.8
Auto3.3
Teleop23.4
End6.8
Third
9680
#23
19.82.0
16.618.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
blue by 10.5
749
#14
30.32.7
17.720.3
Auto6.4
Teleop19.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned