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Red119
19030.0
287734.0
542220.4
Blue64
16623.8
490926.0
107314.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866605010015011964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+59Teleop
+59Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
15Coral scored#6
55Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
75Total teleop37
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#1
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points4
119Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.5
31.933.4
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End5.3
red by 7.9
26.00.2
26.025.8
Auto5.5
Teleop18.6
End1.9
Second
190
#3
30.01.5
27.929.4
Auto7.1
Teleop18.6
End4.3
red by 6.1
166
#2
23.80.2
23.823.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.1
End4.7
Third
5422
#21
20.41.5
18.419.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.6
End2.2
red by 6.0
1073
#26
14.40.2
14.414.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4