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Red62
208412.2
176827.4
581320.6
Blue54
24614.3
234217.3
8826.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615902040801006254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
5Coral points12
11Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +15
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
45Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points5
62Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.2
26.326.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.8
red by 0.9
88
#14
26.50.2
25.525.2
Auto5.3
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Second
5813
#30
20.60.2
19.419.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End2.7
red by 3.2
2342
#10
17.30.2
16.316.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.1
Third
2084
#20
12.20.2
11.111.3
Auto1.3
Teleop10.4
End0.6
blue by 2.1
246
#19
14.30.2
13.313.1
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End1.6