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Red158
179240.8
999918.4
874462.1
Blue141
957653.0
214344.2
1026419.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12011980100140160158141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+25Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
13Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +32
26Coral scored#18
95Coral points63
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
129Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#6
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
158Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.9
61.262.1
Auto12.8
Teleop47.8
End1.5
red by 9.1
53.00.6
52.553.0
Auto8.4
Teleop36.6
End8.0
Second
40.80.9
39.940.8
Auto8.7
Teleop28.5
End3.5
blue by 3.4
44.20.6
43.644.2
Auto11.4
Teleop25.9
End6.8
Third
9999
#14
18.41.3
17.218.4
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End4.2
blue by 1.5
19.90.6
19.319.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6