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Red101
214344.2
999918.4
999418.4
Blue51
99969.9
1026419.9
999013.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63430208010012010151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+38Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +30
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
62Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
101Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.22.6
38.040.7
Auto11.4
Teleop25.9
End6.8
red by 24.2
19.90.7
17.518.2
Auto3.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Second
9999
#14
18.44.4
12.316.7
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End4.2
red by 4.7
9990
#10
13.71.1
10.611.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Third
18.44.4
10.915.3
Auto3.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 8.5
9996
#11
9.91.1
13.014.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed