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Red111
206225.1
999418.4
93038.8
Blue74
999113.8
999918.4
638122.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10043015020025011174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
75Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
111Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#4
38.81.8
40.642.4
Auto10.0
Teleop21.1
End7.6
red by 16.1
6381
#13
22.71.3
27.228.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.6
Second
25.11.8
28.330.1
Auto4.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 6.6
9999
#14
18.42.2
16.719.0
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End4.2
Third
18.43.0
15.318.3
Auto3.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
red by 4.6
13.82.2
10.212.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned