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Red38
638122.7
206225.1
99969.9
Blue85
999013.7
999113.8
214344.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777740506070901001103885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+31
Endgame+41
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
4Coral scored#7
14Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
22Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points6
38Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.12.6
30.127.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
blue by 19.1
44.20.6
42.142.7
Auto11.4
Teleop25.9
End6.8
Second
6381
#13
22.72.6
28.525.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.6
red by 9.0
13.81.0
12.413.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
Third
9996
#11
9.94.3
17.713.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.7
blue by 3.9
9990
#10
13.71.0
15.416.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned