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Red39
99969.9
582629.2
1026419.9
Blue68
206225.1
999113.8
999418.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785301001502002503003968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
31Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
39Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5826
#15
29.22.5
37.034.6
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.4
red by 4.1
25.10.8
22.323.1
Auto4.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Second
19.92.5
18.115.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
red by 1.5
18.41.3
12.914.3
Auto3.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Third
9996
#11
9.94.1
15.411.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.7
blue by 3.9
13.81.3
14.716.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed