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Red145
179240.8
999918.4
874462.1
Blue45
582629.2
99969.9
206225.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1177105010015020025030014545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+86Teleop
+94Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +78
23Coral scored#4
82Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
100Total teleop22
Reef
10L4#3
9L3#2
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +100
6Foul points0
145Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.6
59.360.0
Auto12.8
Teleop47.8
End1.5
red by 33.0
5826
#15
29.20.6
31.330.7
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.4
Second
40.80.6
38.038.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.5
End3.5
red by 15.7
25.10.6
27.226.7
Auto4.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Third
9999
#14
18.40.9
14.415.3
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End4.2
red by 8.5
9996
#11
9.90.9
13.012.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.7