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Red61
1718.2
673216.1
253128.7
Blue80
870123.6
802420.4
453123.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6080020401001201406180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+37
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
5Coral scored#10
17Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
27Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
24Foul points6
61Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2531
#16
28.71.8
20.819.0
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End1.6
red by 5.1
23.60.2
21.822.0
Auto4.1
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Second
6732
#39
16.12.5
14.912.4
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.3
blue by 7.5
8701
#20
23.60.2
24.725.0
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End5.3
Third
171
#49
8.22.5
18.315.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 12.2
8024
#30
20.40.2
19.219.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned