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Red105
582635.4
283036.4
252638.3
Blue28
70619.5
61667.0
870123.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1136905010015010528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+77Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +67
15Coral scored#2
53Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
77Total teleop10
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#1
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
105Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
#18
38.30.9
30.931.9
Auto5.3
Teleop31.5
End1.5
red by 14.7
8701
#20
23.63.8
25.021.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End5.3
Second
2830
#33
36.41.4
30.031.4
Auto5.3
Teleop30.8
End0.3
red by 16.8
706
#21
19.53.8
17.213.4
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End1.8
Third
35.40.9
31.332.2
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End2.2
red by 28.4
6166
#51
7.03.8
20.116.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed