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Red135
253128.7
9339.8
283036.4
Blue119
53742.5
206213.4
591429.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10896406080120140160180135119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+20Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +30
24Coral scored#16
85Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
111Total teleop81
Reef
10L4#5
5L3#7
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points6
135Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#7
39.82.4
35.237.5
Auto7.8
Teleop26.5
End5.5
blue by 2.7
537
#9
42.50.8
42.743.5
Auto5.5
Teleop32.1
End5.0
Second
2830
#33
36.42.4
33.736.0
Auto5.3
Teleop30.8
End0.3
red by 7.3
5914
#14
29.10.8
25.626.4
Auto6.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
Third
2531
#16
28.71.5
23.224.8
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End1.6
red by 15.3
2062
#42
13.40.8
16.817.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned