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Red78
219433.6
167527.8
702145.9
Blue94
802420.4
582635.4
401117.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133700501001502007894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+32
Endgame+22
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#11
23Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
12Processor points12
4Net points4
16Algae points16
39Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
6Foul points0
78Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.92.8
44.441.5
Auto11.2
Teleop25.5
End9.2
red by 10.5
35.41.7
36.438.1
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End2.2
Second
2194
#12
33.64.4
37.933.5
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End3.1
red by 13.3
8024
#30
20.42.6
17.319.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
Third
1675
#19
27.84.4
32.127.7
Auto1.4
Teleop20.9
End5.5
red by 9.8
4011
#28
17.91.7
15.116.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned