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Red189
319759.4
472866.3
802420.4
Blue125
638130.8
874436.5
253128.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1479450200250189125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +33
19Coral scored#18
69Coral points66
4Processor algae#3
10Net algae#4
24Processor points18
40Net points16
64Algae points34
133Total teleop100
Reef
10L4#11
6L3#6
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#29
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
189Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.31.7
60.962.6
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End8.6
red by 29.8
8744
#11
36.51.1
33.734.8
Auto7.0
Teleop26.8
End2.7
Second
59.41.3
55.356.6
Auto11.4
Teleop42.4
End5.6
red by 28.6
6381
#24
30.80.8
28.729.5
Auto5.8
Teleop21.7
End3.3
Third
8024
#30
20.41.7
14.916.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End4.2
blue by 8.4
2531
#16
28.70.8
26.627.4
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End1.6