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Red78
453124.5
1050529.7
171453.8
Blue35
361828.7
99936.8
360212.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129330501001502002507835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+43Teleop
+45Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
8Coral scored#4
29Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
39Total teleop13
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points2
78Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.82.2
50.047.8
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
red by 25.0
28.70.8
23.923.1
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
Second
29.72.2
32.730.5
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
red by 17.5
3602
#15
12.10.8
18.317.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Third
24.52.2
22.620.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
red by 17.7
6.80.9
-2.5-3.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed