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Red67
353876.8
453124.5
17165.7
Blue107
283040.4
118835.3
957823.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11910205015020067107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+36
Endgame+48
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
41Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
8Foul points0
67Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.83.2
74.971.7
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 36.4
40.40.7
33.334.0
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
Second
24.53.2
20.417.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
blue by 10.8
35.30.7
36.937.6
Auto10.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Third
1716
#16
5.73.2
5.72.5
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 17.7
9578
#12
23.50.7
20.721.4
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned