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Red28
1050529.7
17165.7
710321.7
Blue54
283040.4
957823.5
360212.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698302040601001201402854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
1Coral scored#7
5Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
9Total teleop34
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
12Foul points0
28Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.73.1
28.125.0
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
blue by 10.7
40.41.2
35.033.8
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
Second
7103
#13
21.73.1
29.226.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
blue by 1.8
9578
#12
23.51.2
21.420.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Third
1716
#16
5.73.1
4.91.8
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 6.4
3602
#15
12.11.2
15.814.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed