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Red102
99936.8
453124.5
761915.7
Blue149
338114.1
171453.8
353876.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1016250100200250102149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+57
Endgame+55
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +39
13Coral scored#19
46Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
66Total teleop105
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
8Foul points0
102Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.53.0
16.319.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
blue by 52.3
76.80.1
69.469.3
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
Second
7619
#14
15.73.0
14.717.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
blue by 38.0
53.80.1
48.248.1
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End6.6
Third
6.83.0
-5.6-2.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
blue by 7.3
3381
#10
14.10.1
11.010.9
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned