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Red86
453124.5
353876.8
17165.7
Blue70
99936.8
99915.3
283040.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116360501001502002508670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
62Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
86Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.3
69.369.0
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
red by 36.4
40.42.4
35.037.4
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
Second
24.50.3
19.419.0
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
red by 17.7
6.82.4
-0.91.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Third
1716
#16
5.70.3
2.31.9
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 0.5
9991
#17
5.32.4
-0.71.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed