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Red94
360212.1
283040.4
453124.5
Blue109
353876.8
338114.1
17165.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions789905015020025094109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+29
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
55Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#24
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
94Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.41.1
37.438.5
Auto8.8
Teleop24.1
End7.4
blue by 36.4
76.81.4
69.070.4
Auto17.9
Teleop56.8
End2.0
Second
24.51.1
19.020.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
red by 10.4
3381
#10
14.11.4
11.613.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End0.5
Third
3602
#15
12.11.1
14.815.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.0
red by 6.4
1716
#16
5.71.4
1.93.3
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed