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Red72
957823.5
710321.7
453124.5
Blue74
761915.7
282633.1
99936.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7855020401001201401607274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop57
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points2
72Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.3
20.320.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.5
End5.9
blue by 8.6
33.11.4
29.430.8
Auto5.7
Teleop24.5
End2.9
Second
9578
#12
23.50.3
24.624.9
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
red by 7.8
7619
#14
15.71.4
17.418.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
Third
7103
#13
21.70.3
22.422.7
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
red by 14.9
6.81.4
3.85.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed