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Red70
361828.7
761915.7
710321.7
Blue69
957823.5
1050529.7
99915.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685601001507069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
47Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
2Foul points6
70Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.3
27.327.6
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End1.1
blue by 1.0
29.70.6
27.928.6
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
7103
#13
21.70.3
20.821.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End1.2
blue by 1.8
9578
#12
23.50.6
21.722.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.6
End1.3
Third
7619
#14
15.70.3
15.215.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End4.7
red by 10.5
9991
#17
5.30.6
3.74.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsEarned