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Red155
509620.9
173265.8
874458.4
Blue146
171454.8
319756.9
999414.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15513780100120180200220240155146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
6Coral scored#1
32Coral points4
41Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
18Coral scored#18
64Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
12Processor points18
24Net points12
36Algae points30
100Total teleop93
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#5
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points24
155Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.80.1
65.765.8
Auto18.5
Teleop38.9
End8.4
red by 8.9
56.90.2
57.256.9
Auto12.3
Teleop40.0
End4.6
Second
58.40.1
58.358.4
Auto13.1
Teleop44.0
End1.3
red by 3.6
54.80.2
55.054.8
Auto8.2
Teleop40.4
End6.1
Third
5096
#13
20.90.1
20.820.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 6.0
9994
#18
14.90.3
15.114.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1