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Red69
638128.7
206222.3
509620.9
Blue48
220230.4
217120.0
999312.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74970501502002503003506948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#7
30Coral points26
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
12Processor points0
4Net points4
16Algae points4
46Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
69Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6381
#12
28.70.4
33.332.9
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
blue by 1.7
2202
#11
30.41.5
34.633.2
Auto6.3
Teleop21.1
End3.0
Second
22.30.4
23.323.0
Auto4.6
Teleop16.1
End1.6
red by 2.3
2171
#24
20.01.5
17.616.2
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End1.3
Third
5096
#13
20.90.4
15.415.1
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 8.5
9993
#20
12.42.4
14.612.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed