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Red107
217120.0
638128.7
319756.9
Blue60
999414.9
642122.3
167537.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1528505010020025010760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+37Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +37
14Coral scored#5
51Coral points18
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
75Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#1
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
107Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.91.7
68.466.7
Auto12.3
Teleop40.0
End4.6
red by 19.0
37.91.3
35.133.8
Auto3.8
Teleop26.5
End7.6
Second
6381
#12
28.71.7
36.735.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End5.9
red by 6.5
6421
#22
22.31.3
29.728.4
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End3.7
Third
2171
#24
20.01.7
27.525.8
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End1.3
red by 5.1
9994
#18
14.92.2
14.612.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed