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Red117
429626.8
880231.9
283036.5
Blue175
874446.3
220244.9
130651.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10114950200250117175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+60
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +60
18Coral scored#33
63Coral points117
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
85Total teleop145
Reef
7L4#18
9L3#12
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#43
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
117Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#24
36.51.4
32.734.1
Auto5.9
Teleop27.5
End3.2
blue by 14.6
1306
#10
51.12.4
41.543.9
Auto10.7
Teleop36.1
End4.3
Second
8802
#28
31.92.3
25.427.6
Auto7.7
Teleop23.4
End0.8
blue by 14.4
8744
#11
46.32.4
42.244.6
Auto9.1
Teleop32.6
End4.6
Third
4296
#32
26.81.4
29.430.8
Auto7.6
Teleop17.0
End2.2
blue by 18.1
44.92.4
38.040.4
Auto9.0
Teleop33.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed